Bounty deepens internal crisis among al-Shabaab, analysts say

By Mahmoud Mohamed in Mogadishu

June 11, 2012

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Somali parties welcomed the inclusion of seven top al-Qaeda-linked al-Shabaab leaders on the United States' most wanted list, which offers millions of dollars for information leading to their whereabouts under the Rewards for Justice programme.

  • The United States government is offering up to $33 million in rewards for information leading to the capture of seven al-Shabaab leaders, pictured here. [Rewards for Justice]

    The United States government is offering up to $33 million in rewards for information leading to the capture of seven al-Shabaab leaders, pictured here. [Rewards for Justice]

The United States announced on June 7th that it would offer up to $33 million in exchange for information regarding the whereabouts of seven senior al-Shabaab leaders.

The Somali Transitional Federal Government (TFG) said the cash incentives were an important step to deny terrorists any opportunity to escape justice.

The highest amount was offered for the founder of the group, Ahmed Abdi aw-Mohamed, also known as Ahmed Godane or Mukhtar Abu al-Zubair, with the US State Department offering a $7 million reward for information on his whereabouts.

The TFG said Godane is "responsible for killing innocent civilians across Somalia, including a series of terror attacks that al-Shabaab operated in neighbouring countries".

A further $5 million was offered for other al-Shabaab members: Ibrahim Haji Jama, Fuad Mohamed Khalaf, Bashir Mohamed Mahamoud and Mukhtar Robow.

Up to $3 million was offered for Zakariya Ismail Ahmed Hersi and Abdullahi Yare.

The United States listed al-Shabaab as a terrorist organisation in 2008, but this is the first time it has included the movement's leaders in its Rewards for Justice programme.

Somali officials said the US bounty is in line with the Somali government's bounty announced in April that offers cash incentives of up to $500 for citizens who provide information that leads to the killing or capture of al-Shabaab operatives.

Somali Deputy Minister of Defence Mohamed Ali Atoosh said the bounty offered by the United States will help the fight against al-Shabaab in Somalia.

"The Somali government welcomes this new initiative by the US government, which parallels rewards offered by the transitional government," Atoosh told Sabahi, adding that al-Shabaab poses a stability threat to Somalia and the whole of eastern Africa.

Somali government allied militia Ahlu Sunna wal Jamaa (ASWJ) also welcomed the rewards initiative.

"This American bounty is a step forward in the fight against al-Shabaab," Sheikh Abdulqadir Soomow, spokesperson for the ASWJ Supreme Council, told Sabahi.

"A bounty placed on senior al-Shabaab leaders might arouse fears among the wanted leaders and create a crisis of confidence within the ranks of the movement," he said. "This could lead to disintegration of its leadership who, as of now, are wanted and will only think of hiding and restricting their movement in public to avoid being identified by citizens."

Soomow said al-Shabaab leaders will be in constant fear -- even from their bodyguards and other members of the movement -- as the intelligence services try to penetrate their ranks.

"We consider targeting al-Shabaab's leadership a significant step because killing off their leaders will have a huge impact on the cohesion and future of the movement," he said.

Mounting pressure on al-Shabaab

Analysts say the bounties offered by the US and Somali governments will add to the mounting pressure on al-Shabaab at a time when major victories against the movement have been accomplished through military operations.

"This new bounty is likely to increase pressure on al-Shabaab, which has faced attacks on several fronts in central and southern Somalia," Ismail Abdullahi, a political analyst living in Mogadishu, told Sabahi.

"From now on, wanted leaders will have to constantly look over their shoulders and all around them. They will have to hide away from people's eyes and those of the intelligence services," he said. "Even if this move does not result in capturing al-Shabaab's leaders in the near future, increasing the pressure on al-Shabaab is a key factor in the strategy that seeks to destroy the movement as a military force."

Abdullahi said some signs of weakness and divisions have emerged within al-Shabaab. Last week, reports revealed that al-Shabaab leaders are fleeing the city of Kismayo, the movement's last key stronghold.

Abdirahman Mahmoud, an analyst and researcher on radical groups, said the bounty will likely lead to members of al-Shabaab betraying their leaders to get their hands on the offered money.

"There has been an atmosphere of suspicion and a crisis of confidence that permeated [the inner circles] of al-Shabaab, and this new bounty, in my opinion, will only deepen this internal crisis in the upcoming phase," Mahmoud told Sabahi.

"I do not doubt the emergence of double agents who would want to benefit from this opportunity or, at least, some of al-Shabaab's operatives -- especially the low-ranking leaders -- will abandon ship and inform on the wanted leaders to get their hands on the US bounty money," he said.

Mahmoud lauded the use of financial rewards in exchange for capturing the most prominent al-Shabaab leaders, calling it an effective way to encourage those who have information to come forward.

"These large bounties offered by the United States will encourage those who have information regarding the hideouts of wanted al-Shabaab leaders to come forward," he said.

Al-Shabaab belittles bounty

Al-Shabaab dismissed the US bounty offer and pledged to continue fighting.

"The non-believers know who are the good Muslim leaders -- and that is why the money is offered for their whereabouts," a statement published on website affiliated with the movement said, according to AFP. "While some mujahedeen leaders have already been killed by such plans, others continue the jihad."

Fuad Mohamed Khalaf, one of the al-Shabaab leaders with a $5 million bounty on his head, mocked the US reward for his capture. "I can assure you that these kinds of things will never dissuade us from continuing the holy war against them," he said on radio programmes broadcast June 9th.

"Since 2006, al-Shabaab has claimed responsibility for several bombings -- including suicide attacks in central and northern Somalia and in the capital of Mogadishu," the US State Department said in a statement June 7th. "The group is responsible for the killing of thousands of Somali civilians, Somali peace activists, international aid workers, journalists and African Union peacekeepers."

The statement said al-Shabaab also attacked neighbouring Uganda and threatened attacks on US, Kenyan and Burundian interests.

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Reader's Comments

  • mamoud ali
    June 20, 2012 @ 02:47:19PM

    The al Shabab is weakening every day and their defeat is eminent in the coming months, the forces that are fighting the insurgents are advancing to capture all their strong hold towns and just recently the Amison troops capture one of the major strongholds town, they have also killed the various leaders and the insurgents in battle. The al Shabab only stronghold is kismayu and all the Amison troops and zeroing on the key stronghold and once they capture kismayu from the terrorist the al Shabab will have nowhere to run or hide. The terrorist group is outnumbered by a very wide margin because the troops who are fighting with the mare over 11,000 soldiers.

  • mujaahid soomaaliyeed
    June 17, 2012 @ 09:18:13AM

    I am afraid for you to work with the non-Muslims and you spread the hatred they planted in between their brothers but we will hold you accountable for what you do.

  • KAYSE JAAMAC XIRSI
    June 13, 2012 @ 04:52:25AM

    I would like to say that the people we were shown should be punished that way.

  • Hussein Mumin
    June 12, 2012 @ 07:00:32AM

    Al shabaab is responsible for refusing donor aid to reach the most affected area leading to thousands of death and suffering of the Somali people. The Al shabaab is also responsible for the hijacking of ships on the Indian Ocean.

  • somalilander
    June 12, 2012 @ 04:26:50AM

    This cannot be traced to the religion, humanity and to the culture of the Somalis. As Somalis from the south you are being haunted by the wrongs you committed against your people including your political and religious leaders from the regime of the cursed Siyad Bare to the moment. He mocked the religion of Islam and all the fair treatments it entails and you know that he killed the religious leaders who were leading the community in the straight path in the eyes of the Somalis and no one talked about it. His government also massacred the people of northern Somalia for no reason. After that the country was taken over by warlords who also killed many other people for no reason. After you committed all these wrongs by opposing the religion, you are now using the religion for self-interest and misinterpreting the whole text. You are killing people by slaughtering them like animals, stoning some to death and maiming others by cutting off their hands in the name of using the Islam Sheriah which is not real but misinterpreted to fit your context. On behalf of Somaliland I would like to urge you to do the following: 1; repent to God for wrongs you committed 2.Stop violating people’s rights 3. Trace your lost desirable culture and if you are to fight then you should fight in the internationally accepted ways. Stop slaughtering innocent children and women like animals. I would like to urge Al-Shabaab to stop the killings of innocent people in the name of fighting non-Muslims and go, fight the non-Muslims where they are.

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